Drone Flight - Coupled Stochastic Lorenz

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Tagged by Carlos Pedro S. Gonçalves 1 day ago

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DRONE FLIGHT MODEL BASED ON COUPLED STOCHASTIC LORENZ MODEL EQUATIONS

BY Carlos Pedro Gonçalves and Carlos Rouco (2025)

Lusófona University (https://www.ulusofona.pt/en/), School of Economic and Organizational Sciences (https://eceo.ulusofona.pt/), Civil Aviation and Airports Management Department.

The current model simulates drone flight and swarm patterns in drone dynamics using coupled stochastic differential equations (CSDE). The model integrates agent-based modeling with continuous time methods using CSDEs and applied stochastic chaos to drone flight simulation leading to complex flight patterns.

The mathematical basis of the model expands on the references below applying coupled SDEs with stochastic chaotic dynamics to drone flight.

Gonçalves C.P. (2025) Coupled Stochastic Chaos - Lorenz System. Netlogo Model. Chaos Theory and Complexity Sciences Research Project. Lusófona University. https://www.modelingcommons.org/browse/one_model/7621#model_tabs_browse_info

Gonçalves C.P. (2025) Stochastic Chaotic Network Vector Fields. Int J Swarm Evol Comput. 14:393, https://www.walshmedicalmedia.com/open-access/stochastic-chaotic-network-vector-fields.pdf

The The numeric integration used is adapted from the following reference by Roberts (2012) and uses code from the "Coupled Stochastic Chaos - Lorenz System" model:

Roberts AJ. (2012) Modify the Improved Euler scheme to integrate stochastic differential equations. arXiv. 2012: 1210.0933. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1210.0933.

The model was developed by Carlos Pedro Gonçalves and Carlos Rouco as part of ongoing research into the applications of chaos theory and nonlinear dynamics to Aeronautical Sciences and Aeronautical Management and also as parts of educational materials for the Mathematics I course of the Bachelor in Aeronautical Management at Lusófona University (https://www.ulusofona.pt/en/lisboa/bachelor/aeronautical-management).

The main aim of the model is to address complex system's dynamics features involved in swarm behavior in connection to robotics simulations and drone flight.

HOW IT WORKS

Each drone is characterized by three-dimensional coordinates X(i,t), Y(i,t), Z(i,t). Each cooordinate dynamics has a deterministic component that follows the Lorenz nonlinear system's equations from chaos theory, but with a mean field coupling for each coordinate, where , and correspond to the mean value of the X, Y and Z coordinates of the drone population. Each coordinate is also affected by a local Wiener noise component. In this way the main equations for drone flight are given by:

dX(i,t) = dt * ((1 - epsilon) * sigma * (Y(i,t) - X(i,t)) + epsilon * ) + b * dW1(i,t)

dY(i,t) = dt * ((1 - epsilon) * (rho * X(i,t) - Y(i,t) - X(i,t) * Z(i,t)) + epsilon * ) + b * dW2(i,t)

dZ(i,t) = dt * ((1 - epsilon) * (X(i,t) * Y(i,t) - beta * Z(i,t)) + epsilon * ) + b * dW3(i,t)

HOW TO USE IT

In the interface tab sigma, rho and beta correspond to the parameters for the Lorenz system of equations and epsilon corresponds to the global mean field coupling strength, dt is the time step for numeric integration and b is the noise field strength as per the SDE described in the previous section.

The user can also control the drone population size and whether or not the drones leave a trail in their flight.

THINGS TO NOTICE AND TRY

Look at the drone flight and try to identify patterns of flight and the swarm dynamics, including the formation of one or more squadrons and the interaction between these squadrons.

Switch on the draw trajectory in order to see thee flight path drawn and the relation to Lorenz' chaotic attractor.

Increase the noise level and see how the dynamics changes. Change the parameters for the Lorenz system and look at how the dynamics changes from the noise-free to the noise dynamics.

Change the coupling level in the middle of the simulation to see how the swarm adapts to different parameters.

NETLOGO FEATURES

The model integrates continuous time equations with agent-based modeling which makes it an example of how Netlogo can be used to study complex agent-based dynamics with noise using coupled SDEs.

RELATED MODELS

Gonçalves C.P. (2025) Coupled Stochastic Chaos - Lorenz System. Netlogo Model. Chaos Theory and Complexity Sciences Research Project. Lusófona University. https://www.modelingcommons.org/browse/one_model/7621#model_tabs_browse_info

CREDITS AND REFERENCES

The model should be cited as:

Gonçalves C.P. and Rouco C. (2025). Drone Flight - Coupled Stochastic Lorenz. Chaos Theory and Complexity Sciences Research Project. Lusófona University. https://sites.google.com/view/chaos-complexity

Comments and Questions

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turtles-own [
  aX ; drift factor for Lorenz Coupled SDE for the X vector value
  aY ; drift factor for Lorenz Coupled SDE for the Y vector value
  aZ ; drift factor for Lorenx Coupled SDE for the Z vector value
  X ; X position
  Y ; Y position
  Z ; Z position

  ; Auxiliary variables for SDE calculation:
  k1x
  k1y
  k1z
  k2x
  k2y
  k2z
  Xa
  Ya
  Za
  dWx
  dWy
  dWz
  Sx
  Sy
  Sz

]

to setup
  ca
  reset-ticks
  crt ndrones
  
  let x0 random-float 20 - 10
  let y0 random-float 20 - 10
  let z0 random-float 20
  
  
  
  ask turtles [
    set X x0 + 2 * (1 - random-float 1.000)
    set Y x0 + 2 * (1 - random-float 1.000)
    set Z z0 + 2 * (1 - random-float 1.000) ]
end 

to go
  ; Calculate the nonlinear coupled SDE
  ask turtles[update-drift]
  ask turtles[update-k1]
  ask turtles[get-auxiliary]
  ask turtles[update-new-drift]
  ask turtles[update-displacement]
  
  ; Update the position
  update-position
end 

to update-position
  ask turtles [ if draw_trajectory [pen-down]
                facexyz X Y Z
                setxyz X Y Z ]
end 

;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;
;;; SDE Procedures ;;;
;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;;

; The initial drift is updated in accordance with the Lorenz equations 
; with global mean field coupling

to update-drift  
  set aX (1 - coupling) * (sigma * (Y - X)) + coupling * mean [X] of turtles
  set aY (1 - coupling) * (rho * X - Y - X * Z) + coupling * mean [Y] of turtles
  set aZ (1 - coupling) * (X * Y - beta * Z) + coupling * mean [Z] of turtles  
end 

; First update of the k1 component for each field mode following
; Roberts' (2012) modified Runge-Kutta algorithm using the output
;from the first drift update obtained from the Lorenz system's equations

to update-k1
  ; Sx, Sy and Sz are randombly selected between -1 and 1 with equal
  ; probability, this is used in Itô calculus
  set Sx get_S
  set Sy get_S
  set Sz get_S
  ; The Wiener dW terms are selected for each field component each
  ; dW component is independently selected with Gaussian distribution with a
  ; zero mean and standard deviation given by the square root of the integration step dt
  set dWx (sqrt dt) * random-normal 0 1
  set dWy (sqrt dt) * random-normal 0 1
  set dWz (sqrt dt) * random-normal 0 1

  ; The k1 component of the algorithm is obtained using the three
  ; inputs as per Robert's (2012) algorithm
  set k1x get_k1 aX Sx dWx
  set k1y get_k1 aY Sy dWy
  set k1z get_k1 aZ Sz dWz
end 

; Auxliliary variables used for the computation of the displaced values for X, Y and Z
; displaces as X + k1x, Y + k1y and Z + k1z, this is a necessary step for the calculation of
; k2 which requires the calculation of the new drift using the displaced coordinates

to get-auxiliary
  set Xa X + k1x
  set Ya Y + k1y
  set Za Z + k1z
end 

; The new drift is now calculated by using the displaced coordinates using the Lorenz
; system's equations

to update-new-drift
  set aX (1 - coupling) * (sigma * (Ya - Xa)) + coupling * mean [Xa] of turtles
  set aY (1 - coupling) * (rho * Xa - Ya - Xa * Za) + coupling * mean [Ya] of turtles
  set aZ (1 - coupling) * (Xa * Ya - beta * Za) + coupling * mean [Za] of turtles
end 


; The new field value variables are obtained by calculating the displacement

to update-displacement
  ; First calculate k2 using the new drift
  set k2x get_k2 aX Sx dWx
  set k2y get_k2 aY Sy dWy
  set k2z get_k2 aZ Sz dWz

  ; The SDE procedure calculates the displacement is calculated using k1 and k2
  let dX_value SDE k1x k2x
  let dY_value SDE k1y k2y
  let dZ_value SDE k1z k2z

  ; The new variables are calculated
  set X X + dX_value
  set Y Y + dY_value
  set Z Z + dZ_value
end 

; The auxiliary variable S is calculated with equal probabilities between
; -1 and 1 for the numeric integration to approximate Itô integral

to-report get_S
  let S 0
  ifelse random-float 1 < 0.5  [set S -1] [set S 1]
  report S
end 

; k1 is given by the drift a which is multiplied by dt and corresponds
; in our case to the Lorenz system's equations
; and it is added by a term that depends upon the stochastic component
; following Robert's scheme we have b which in our case is a parameter that
; controls the noise level multiplied by the the Wiener innovation dW subtracted
; by S multiplied by the square root of the time step is

to-report get_k1 [a S dW]
  let k1 dt * a + b * (dW - S * sqrt(dt))
  report k1
end 

; k2 is calculated in the same way as k1 with the exception that it uses the
; displaced drift and S is multiplied by the square root of dt.

to-report get_k2 [a S dW]
  let k2 dt * a + b * (dW + S * sqrt(dt))
  report k2
end 

; The displacement for the SDE is obtained by taking the mean value of k1 and k2

to-report SDE [k1 k2]
  let displacement 0.5 * (k1 + k2)
  report displacement
end 






There is only one version of this model, created 1 day ago by Carlos Pedro S. Gonçalves.

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